The Bush Years: A Financial Rollercoaster
The financial landscape during George W. Bush’s presidency (2001-2009) was marked by dramatic shifts, from economic recovery after a recession to the precipice of a global financial meltdown. His administration implemented policies that shaped the markets and ultimately played a significant role in the crisis of 2008.
Initially, Bush inherited a slowing economy and responded with tax cuts, particularly the Economic Growth and Tax Relief Reconciliation Act of 2001 and the Jobs and Growth Tax Relief Reconciliation Act of 2003. These measures aimed to stimulate economic activity by reducing individual income tax rates, lowering capital gains and dividend taxes, and offering tax credits. Proponents argued these cuts incentivized investment and spending, leading to growth. Critics, however, contended they disproportionately benefited the wealthy and contributed to rising national debt.
Following the dot-com bubble burst and the September 11th terrorist attacks, the Federal Reserve, under Alan Greenspan, adopted a low-interest rate policy. This, coupled with lax lending standards and a booming housing market, fueled a period of rapid economic expansion. The “ownership society” initiative encouraged homeownership, and mortgage lenders increasingly offered subprime mortgages to borrowers with poor credit. This fueled demand and drove housing prices up, creating an asset bubble.
Deregulation was another hallmark of the Bush administration’s financial policy. The Commodity Futures Modernization Act of 2000, passed just before Bush took office, significantly limited the regulation of over-the-counter derivatives, including credit default swaps. These complex financial instruments, which were designed to insure against loan defaults, became widespread and opaque, ultimately contributing to systemic risk. The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) also loosened capital requirements for investment banks, allowing them to take on more leverage.
As housing prices peaked and began to decline in 2006 and 2007, the consequences of these policies became apparent. Subprime mortgages began to default, triggering a cascade of losses throughout the financial system. Investment banks that had heavily invested in mortgage-backed securities and credit default swaps faced significant losses. The crisis deepened in 2008 with the failures of Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers.
Facing a severe economic crisis, the Bush administration responded with the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008, also known as the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP). This authorized the government to purchase toxic assets from banks and inject capital into struggling financial institutions. While controversial, TARP is widely credited with preventing a complete collapse of the financial system.
The financial policies of the Bush administration had a profound and lasting impact. While initial tax cuts provided short-term stimulus, they also contributed to long-term debt. Deregulation, particularly in the derivatives market, amplified systemic risk and played a crucial role in the 2008 financial crisis. The response to the crisis, including TARP, stabilized the financial system but also led to increased government intervention in the economy, a trend that continued under subsequent administrations.